The RB-Factor

If the New Orleans Saints are going to the win the Super Bowl tonight, they will need to feature Reggie Bush quite eminently.  His game-breaking skills, speed, and knack for the endzone will be critical if they want to pull off the upset.  The Saints can put up plenty of points but if they want to win, they need a special performance from Reggie.  It gets down to how many touches he gets.  Quite often, not enough.  Relying on Pierre Thomas and Mike Bell is not bringing home a Lombardi Trophy vs the Indianapolis Colts.  The more touches he gets, the more likey they are to win.  This is what I think it will take today:

Touches                        % Chance to win
    <5                                           0
    5-10                                       25
    10-15                                     33
    >15                                        50

Put it this way, if the Saints win there is a very high likelihood that Bush will be the MVP.  The prediction here is still with Peyton Manning and his troops:  Colts 37, Saints 31